An Atlantic low-pressure system brings several days of rain, strong winds, and local thunderstorm risk. Precautions are already under way on Ibiza and Formentera.
Unsettled weather in sight
Here from Palma I write with a cup of coffee, while outside the wind is already rattling the shutters. A strong Atlantic low-pressure system, which some meteorologists name Alice, is approaching the Balearics and will bring us unsettled, often wet weather in the coming days.
What to expect
In short: rain, rain and more rain – with heavy downpours in places. Also possible: brief but intense thunderstorms and hail. The wind shifts from east to northeast and blows with gusts, especially at exposed coastal sections such as the Passeig Marítimo or the cliffs near Andratx. In some valleys the water will accumulate quickly; we have seen manhole covers bubbling after showers here in recent weeks.
Affected islands and measures
Ibiza and Formentera have already raised the warning level; there, schools have been closed and parks closed. On Mallorca the situation is somewhat less dramatic, but the recommendations are clear: avoid walks on steep slopes, keep boats docked in the harbor, and do not be out unnecessarily during heavy showers. I saw police at the port early in the morning talking to boat owners — the concern is real.
Time frame and temperatures
The uncertain phase, according to forecasts, lasts roughly from the late hours of Wednesday evening, October 8, until into the middle of next week – as of today, this can still shift. Daytime temperatures stay mild: in the south up to around 25–26 °C temporarily, in the north usually a few degrees cooler. On the weekend it will drop noticeably; 23–24 °C are then more typical.
Why these storms are tricky
These are what meteorologists call an upper-level low, which is often difficult to forecast. Such systems spin the wind quickly and cause locally very different conditions: While one place stays dry, 15 kilometers away there can already be a flood risk. Sailors and small fishermen should be particularly careful — and tourists should keep their plans flexible.
My tip: Have a flashlight, a waterproof jacket and patience ready. The island knows days like these in October, and usually the whole thing settles down after a few days. If the warning levels change, authorities will inform immediately. For now: keep eyes open, check weather apps, and plan sensibly.
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